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Forecast – for Sep. 1, 2011

Typically as we begin to transition from one season to another, forecasting the weather becomes more difficult, and this year is no exception. After a fairly hot and dry summer, with little in the way of organized storm systems, it’s starting to look like this pattern will begin to break down as large fall storm systems begin to organize.

The first of these storm systems is forecast to track through southern and central regions on Thursday. We should see some clouds and scattered showers and thundershowers move into our region late Wednesday, followed by what could be the first widespread significant rain on Thursday. The models have been trending a little further north, so confidence in this system is not overly high on exactly where most of the rain will fall.

The low looks to exit our region by Friday, but temperatures will be on the cool side, with highs by Friday only making it into the low 20s. On Saturday it looks like a weak area of low pressure will slide through, bringing a mix of sun and clouds along with the chance of the odd shower or thundershower. Things should clear up on Sunday, but temperatures will remain on the cool side, with highs continuing in the low 20s.

High pressure then looks to dominate our weather for much of next week. With all the sunshine we should see temperatures slowly warm back into the mid-20s, with overnight lows around the 10 C mark.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs:16 to 26 C. Lows:4 to 13 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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