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Forecast – for Nov. 4, 2010

Now that the Super Storm of 2010 has finally moved out of our region, it looks like we’ll see some nice late-fall weather move in. Considering the size of the last storm, this period of nice weather is kind of unusual. What I mean by that is that such a large and deep area of low pressure at this time of the year would usually pull down some really cold air. I guess the fact that this cold air was not available for this system is what saved us from receiving a record-breaking snowstorm.

Currently, the weather models point toward at least the next five to 10 days being relatively mild with little in the way of precipitation. A ridge of high pressure is expected to build across the western part of North America during this week, which should bring more sun than clouds to our part of the world, along with temperatures near the top end of the usual temperature range for this time of year.

The models do show a slight chance of showers or wet flurries to start next week as a weak area of low pressure moves through. It doesn’t look like this system will become very strong over our region, though, so no significant amounts of precipitation are expected.

Looking further ahead, the weather models point toward a more fall-like pattern than an early winter one. The models seem to be fairly consistent on predicting mild early-winter weather to continue, with daytime highs expected to be in the low to mid-single digits, with overnight lows around the -5 C to -10 C marks.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs: -3 to 7 C. Lows: -11 to -2 C.

Chance of precipitation falling as snow: 85 per cent.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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