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Forecast – for Mar. 3, 2011

To understand the forecast for this period you need to create the following picture in your mind’s eye. Out west off the coast of southern B.C. is a large area of low pressure that will basically remain in place as new storms push in from the Pacific to help fortify this system. To our northwest, over eastern Alaska, the Yukon, and western parts of the N.W. T picture a large area of high pressure. Now with this in mind here is what the weather models are showing for the next week or two.

We will see part of the western low break off and try and push along the international border during the middle of the week. This will bring a chance of some light snow on Thursday. At the same time a piece of the arctic high will begin to push south and should move into our forecast region over the weekend. This will bring a return to cold temperatures along with many sunny skies.

Late in the weekend and during the early part of next week, the models have a large piece of the western low breaking off and moving eastwards into the northwestern U.S. This system is forecasted to strengthen as it begins to push eastwards. At the same time high pressure to our northwest is forecasted to push southeastwards again. This should keep this storm system to our south next week with only a slight chance of some high clouds and maybe a flurry around Monday or Tuesday. Temperatures will continue on the cold side with temperatures running near the low end of the usual temperature range for this time of the year.

Looking a little further ahead, the latest model runs are showing some signs that this current weather pattern may start to switch to a new one late next week. Let’s keep our fingers crossed that it will switch to warm and dry.

Highs:-12 to 0 CLows:-26 to -10 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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