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Forecast – for Jun. 2, 2011

The weather models have been having a fair bit of trouble lately and this looks to continue into this forecast period. Last week the models predicted a strong low forming to our west over the weekend, then moving to the northeast. This low did form, but farther south, and it moved in early, bringing the clouds, showers and thunderstorms to much of southern and central Manitoba over the weekend. This low quickly raced off only to be replaced by a larger, stronger Colorado low to start the week.

This strong low looks as if it will affect our region right through until Wednesday, with clouds, showers and thunderstorms bringing upwards of 30 to 40 millimetres of rain to some regions. Very strong winds behind this system will bring cool conditions for mid-week. High pressure will then temporarily move in on Thursday, but yet another area of low pressure is forecast to push through on Friday and Saturday.

This low does not currently look like it will be that strong. We will likely see a mix of sun and clouds with this system along with the odd shower or thundershower. Temperatures should warm up ahead of this system with highs to start the weekend in the low to mid-20s. By Sunday this low should have pushed by and we will see our winds shift to the north which will bring in cooler air.

High pressure will then move in to start the week and we should see plenty of sunshine along with warming temperatures. The models then show yet another area of low pressure developing to our west and then moving into our region around mid-week. Let’s hope the models continue to struggle and are wrong with this system.

Highs:17 to 28 C.Lows:4 to 14 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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