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Forecast – for Jun. 16, 2011

It appears that our weather is stuck in a weekly cycle. Yet another area of low pressure is affecting much of southern and central Manitoba to start the week, with the best chances of rain found over western and central regions. Unfortunately, this pattern looks like it will continue during this forecast period with plenty of chances for showers right through into next week.

There is a difference between this week’s system and the last few that have moved through. This system will not be as strong, but it looks like it will stick around a lot longer. A broad area of low pressure will be in place across much of central North America during this forecast period. One main area of low pressure, according to the models, will be to our west over central Saskatchewan, with small disorganized systems to our southwest. The Saskatchewan system will try to make inroads into our region during the second half of the week, bringing with it the chance of showers on any given day. Temperatures should be mild, with highs in the low to mid-20s, but showers and heavy cloud could lower those highs.

Attention then turns to early next week where the weather models once again show a strong area of low pressure forming to our southwest and moving into our region starting on Tuesday. This system has the potential to bring significant rains to our region once again, along with strong northerly winds. Looking further ahead, the models are not showing any sustained dry weather, as low pressure continues to dominate our part of the world. Let’s hope the models are wrong.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs:19 to 29 C.Lows:7 to 16 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.



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