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Forecast – for Jul. 14, 2011

Last week’s forecast played out pretty much as expected. The biggest exception would be to the start of the week, as fairly cool air spilled southward behind the departing low. Hopefully this week’s forecast works out as well!

The cool area of high pressure that brought refreshing conditions to start the week will move off to the southeast by the middle of the week. This, combined with a large disorganized area of low pressure to our west, will result in a warm southerly flow developing. This will allow temperatures to warm back up toward the high end of the usual temperature range for this time of the year.

As the weekend rolls around, the western area of low pressure will organize itself over the northern Prairies and then track eastward. This will allow plenty of warm air to build into the southern Prairies. Most of the models agree we will see temperatures soar over the weekend, with highs in some areas getting into the mid-30s. Along with the hot temperatures there will also be the chance for some thunderstorms on both Saturday and Sunday.

Next week looks like it could be a carbon copy of this week. High pressure is set to build southward behind the exit low over northern Manitoba. This will bring partly cloudy skies along with cooler conditions on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday this high will be to our southeast and – yep, you guessed it – low pressure will develop to our northwest. This will likely bring a return to more hot weather for the second half of next week.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs:22 to 31 C. Lows:9 to 17 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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