Forecast – for Apr. 14, 2011

After a fairly warm start to the week it looks like we will cool down once again to continue what’s turning out to be a cooler-than-average April.

Arctic high pressure will slowly slide southward behind an area of low pressure which is forecast to move through north-central Manitoba during the middle of the week. This area of high pressure will bring plenty of sunshine along with cooler temperatures. High temperatures will only be around +5 C with overnight lows dropping to around -8 C. While temperatures will be cool, this area of high pressure looks as if it will keep any major storm systems well to our south, keeping us high and dry.

As next week rolls around the area of arctic high pressure will begin to weaken as a large but disorganized region of low pressure develops to our west. While this will mean slightly warmer temperatures, it also means more clouds, along with the chance of showers or flurries as pieces of energy spin off this low and move through our region. The models then point toward a large and strong area of low pressure developing over the central U.S. by the middle of next week. Currently the models keep this system well to our south, but so far this spring the weather models have not been doing that great of a job with these systems. So while things currently look OK, this system will have to be watched.

Highs:+3 to +17 C. Lows:-8 to +3 C.

Probability of precipitation falling as rain: 65 per cent.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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