The cold, dry weather pattern in which we’ve been stuck for pretty much all of February looks as if it will continue into the foreseeable future. This means we will continue to see temperatures at the bottom end of the usual range for this time of the year, along with little significant snow accumulation.
As we head into March it looks like arctic high pressure will continue to dominate our weather, with the models predicting another three areas of high pressure to drop southeast during this forecast period. The couple of positives we have in our favour are that the sunshine is getting stronger as we move into March, which will help to moderate or warm up the highs, and secondly, these highs will not come across the pole. This means they won’t be as cold from the start.
The first high will be the coldest and will cross our region on Wednesday and should be to our southeast by Thursday and Friday. Wednesday should be the coldest day of this forecast period and we should see high temperatures moderate towards the -10 C range by Friday. Late in the weekend, a second high will slide in from the northwest, dropping temperatures back down by about 5 to 8 C. Once again we’ll see a brief warm-up as the high slides to our southeast Monday or Tuesday before the third arctic high pushes in around the middle of next week. This high looks as if it will take a more westerly route, sparing us from the coldest air. High temperatures with this high will likely be in the middle of the usual temperature range for this time of the year, with overnight lows slightly colder.
Looking further ahead, the models still aren’t showing any big push of warm air, but with most regions having only light to moderate snow cover it won’t take much to melt most of it off.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, -13 to 0 C; lows, -27 to -9 C.