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Forecast: And now, your fairly quiet forecast

Last week’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models predicted. If we see the same thing for this forecast period, expect mostly sunny skies, maybe the odd thundershower, and temperatures right around average for early July.

This forecast period will begin with a large upper low dropping into northern Manitoba from the Arctic. This will not directly affect southern or central regions, but it will still impact our weather. This low will help to break down the upper ridge that gave us the warm/hot temperatures over the Canada Day long weekend, and replace it with more seasonable temperatures.

Weak surface high pressure will be in place from Wednesday to Friday, bringing with it plenty of sunshine. We might see some afternoon clouds as the upper atmosphere cools and the strong midsummer sun heats the ground, but overall it should be sunny. Daytime highs look to be in the 23 to 25 C range with overnight lows falling into the low teens.

By Friday and over the weekend the weather models show a weak area of low pressure tracking across the Dakotas. This system may bring a few showers or thundershowers to extreme southern regions late on Friday and again late in the day on Sunday. Temperatures look to continue to run right in the middle of the usual temperature range for this time of the year.

Early next week the weather models show a weak area of low pressure dropping southeastward through central Manitoba. Confidence is not high with this system, but if it does materialize, expect to see increasing clouds late on Monday with a good chance of showers across most regions on Tuesday. It looks like this system will quickly push through, bringing a return to sunshine by Wednesday.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, 22 to 31 C; lows, 10 to 17 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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