Active weather pattern; a little taste of winter

It definitely seems like we’re in a new weather pattern as the cool, wet weather looks to continue for pretty much this entire forecast period. The weather models have been having a heck of a time coming to a consensus on how the weather will play out during the first half of this forecast period. At first they were showing a very strong area of low pressure moving into our region, bringing plenty of rain and then snow, but lately the models have begun changing their tune.

It looks like the main area of low pressure forecast to move through our region this week will break into two pieces. The first will move through central Manitoba on Wednesday, with the second low moving through Minnesota and into Ontario on Thursday and Friday. The result will be an overall weaker system, meaning less rain during the middle of the week and then only a slight chance of snow later in the week. Temperatures will also be a little slower to cool down, but by the time the second low moves off into Ontario over the weekend, we’ll see highs drop to around the freezing mark.

These cold temperatures look like they’ll stick around for at least the start of next week. We can expect daytime highs to only make it to around freezing mark, with overnight lows in the -8 C range. The good news is that the medium-range weather models are showing a return to milder conditions by the middle of next week.

Usual temperature range for this period:

Highs: 1 to 13 C; Lows: -8 to 2 C.

Probability of precipitation falling as snow: 50 per cent.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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