of the month both Brandon and Dauphin had slightly above-average precipitation. Dauphin recorded 16 mm compared to the average of 13.2 mm and Brandon recorded 19.0 mm compared to an average of 16.0 mm. Winnipeg was the dry spot only recording 10.5 mm compared to the long-term average of 14.9 mm.
So, overall, I would classify February as having nearaverage temperatures and near-average precipitation. Now the fun part , seeing who was able to call it correctly. It seems like my late-February forecast did give me the advantage. I called for near-average temperatures (or slightly above) and near-average amounts of precipitation.
The Canadian Farmers Almanac did call for nearaverage temperatures in February but they seemed to be leaning towards aboveave rage pre c ipi tat ions amounts. Both Environment Canada and the Old Farmers Almanac were way off, with calls for colder-than-average conditions.
What will March serve up this year? According to Environment Canada, it is going to be colder than average with near-average amounts of precipitation. Over at the Old Farmers Almanac they are also calling
25.3 23.5 21.5
for below-average temperatures. Actually they are calling for well-below-average temperatures. Precipitationwise they are indicating that March will be dry. The good old folks at the Canadian Farmers Almanac seem to be leaning towards near-average temperatures as they mention fair weather several times in March. They also make mention of storms several times, so to me that would mean above-average precipitation amounts.
Finally, I’m going to call for near to above-average temperatures for March with a chance of seeing above-average amounts of precipitation. The medium-to long-range models are pointing towards a more active weather pattern developing. This could place us into the path of one or two big storms this month, but the question is will we see the precipitation in the form of rain, snow, or a messy mix of both? As usual, predicting precipitation amounts at this time of year is difficult since most of our precipitation comes from large storm systems. Get hit by one and we are above average, miss out and we are below average.
Next issue we will take a look further ahead to see what the long-range weather models are predicting for this spring.