GFM Network News



ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (light yellow, dark yellow, dark green lines). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Challenging crop year ahead for canola

MarketsFarm — With declines in canola following Statistics Canada’s bullish-leaning projections for acres, it’s becoming more difficult to determine which way prices will trend in coming weeks and months. “Where are prices going to go? In any given year that’s challenging, especially in this year,” said David Derwin, analyst for PI Financial in Winnipeg. “That



Much of the Prairie region is heading into seeding experiencing varying levels of drought, which may be a factor guiding new-crop values in coming months.

Old-crop canola trends upward through volatility

Traders’ attention is now focused on the new crop – and its potential limitations

A ‘casino,’ a ‘craps table’ or just plain ‘crazy’ were some of the words traders and analysts used to try to explain activity in the ICE Futures canola market during the first full week of April. Futures saw some wild price swings on an hour-by-hour basis during the week ended April 9, but the general

ICE July 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, dark yellow and green lines). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: For canola, the only certainty is volatility

"The market has to feel comfortable there’s a crop on the way"

MarketsFarm — After starting this week with losses, canola bounced back with back-to-back gains, raising prices by more than $20 per tonne for old-crop after falling back $4-$5 on Monday. Errol Anderson, an analyst with ProMarket Communications in Calgary, emphasized there will be a good amount of volatility in the markets, with wide swings possible


ICE May 2021 canola with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola fundamentals still strong in volatile market

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved higher during the week ended Wednesday, with the largest gains in the old-crop months amid ongoing concerns over tight supplies. Day-to-day activity could remain volatile at times, but underlying fundamentals should remain supportive heading into the 2021 growing season, according to an analyst. While canola futures have traded


Canada needs a large canola crop this year to restock tight supplies, which doesn’t change the fact that the crop remains expensive to grow.

Canola traders’ attention now turns toward new crop

Upcoming U.S. data could provide some direction in the near term

It’s very hard to know what’s going on,” one trader said of the volatile ICE Futures canola market during the last full trading week of March, as prices were all over the place and a number of rumours circulated in the market. The nearby May contract traded within a $50-per-tonne range during the week, with


ICE May 2021 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola still finding support

U.S. acreage estimates could sway futures

MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market saw some wide price swings over the week ended Wednesday, dropping by more than $50 per tonne off its contract highs in the nearby May contract before recovering to trade just a few dollars off of those levels once again. Tight canola supplies, strength in world vegetable oil