GFM Network News


We don’t know exactly how interest rate trends will evolve nor what the consequences will be. – David Derwin.

As the calendar turns

2020 illustrated volatility in stunning fashion for market watchers

It’s that time of year again, as another calendar page turns. I’m sure we’re glad to see the end to this year, although that doesn’t mean things have magically changed on January 1. At least now we can take a look back with a better understanding of where we’ve been to help figure out where

Volatility is more of a mathematical definition of how much a market will likely move in the future based on past fluctuations.

Volatile times need a market strategy

Think of these tools as an insurance policy where you pay a fee to avoid risks

Given what’s happened in the markets in the past couple of months, it’s a good time to revisit risk: how to think about it, how to manage it and its practical impact on marketing and hedging. As the coronavirus was unleashing its effects on the markets, I was also reading an interesting book called An




Derwin: Dollar direction signals hard to decipher

Every week the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) releases its Commitments of Traders (COT) report. But just how committed are the traders shown in those trading activity reports? When you look at what traders can also do in the cash, over-the-counter and physical markets associated with those futures contracts, it’s difficult to say for sure. This


Corn has recently been under pressure from big crop pegs out of South America and chart-based selling, as well as general uncertainty in the markets over the future of U.S.-China trade.

Comment: Long positions on corn liquidated

Funds sold their entire CBOT corn long position undetected during U.S. govt. shutdown

Within the span of six weeks, commodity funds dumped bullish bets in Chicago-traded corn futures and options without the market’s knowledge. Market participants were under the impression that speculators closed out January relatively optimistic toward the grains. However, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) confirmed otherwise on Feb. 19. Hedge funds and


Saskatchewan farming prices – in 2016 dollars per acre.

Risk and volatility not necessarily same

Hedging Your Bets: Current canola and farmland prices are examples of markets at risk of a sudden change

When thinking about risk, there can be a lot of different interpretations. Risk does not have to mean volatility but the two tend to work in conjunction. One way to define risk is ‘the consequence of not meeting your goals.’ One of my favourite authors on the topic of market risk and practical trading ideas


A field of wheat near Rocanville, Sask., on July 11, 2017.

Farmers watch markets rally as crops wither

Weather and market analyst Bruce Burnett took a 
first-hand look at crops across the West

If Glacier FarmMedia weather and market analyst Bruce Burnett had to pick one word to sum up the state of the Prairie crop this summer, it would be “variable.” Burnett logged a 4,500-km crop tour across the Prairies in mid-July and reported in at the third annual Ag in Motion farm show about what he

Traders keep canola prices above the $500 support mark

Drought in the U.S. spring wheat area continues 
as the main feature of the wheat market

ICE Futures Canada canola contracts chopped around for the week ended July 21, torn between conflicting weather issues, before finally ending relatively unchanged. Early in the week, ideas took hold that canola fields in some parts of Saskatchewan and Alberta had likely suffered irreversible damage due to the heat stress suffered in late June and