Quieter and milder weather

An interesting note to start off this forecast is that if the weather models are correct, areas as close to us as Thunder Bay will be feeling the effects of the remnants of Hurricane Sandy, as the system stalls out over Eastern Canada this week.

For us here in Manitoba, this will block a ridge of high pressure over central North America from moving eastwards, meaning relatively dry and mild weather until at least next weekend. We’ll likely see a mix of sun and clouds on most days, with more sun than cloud, and high temperatures in the 5 C to 8 C range. Over the weekend the eastern low will weaken and slide off to the northeast. This will allow for a weak area of arctic high pressure to slide south, bringing with it slightly cooler conditions for the weekend.

The weather models have been fairly consistent in bringing an area of low pressure through our region late Sunday and into Monday. Currently, it looks like we’ll probably only see some light rain or showers from this system as conditions look to be too warm for snow. Behind this system we should see slightly cooler conditions, with highs only making it to around zero. We could see some flurries too, as the low departs and the cooler air moves in.

Looking further ahead, the weather models are hinting that we might see some snow move in late next weekend but that is a long way off so confidence in us seeing snow is not that high.

Usual temperature range for this period:

Highs: -2 to 10 C

Lows: -11 to 0 C

Probability of precipitation falling as snow: 65 per cent.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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