Prairie summer weather patterns to hold for now

A washout near Forrest in western Manitoba on June 29, 2020. (Manitoba Co-operator photo by Alexis Stockford)

MarketsFarm — No major changes in the current weather patterns on the Prairies are expected at this time, according to a pair of weather experts.

So far this summer, the region’s weather has been highlighted by warmer and generally drier conditions in the eastern Prairies, while the western portion has been cooler with a great deal more precipitation, especially in the north.

“We’re still seeing fairly warm weather in Manitoba and cooler in Alberta with Saskatchewan in between,” said Scott Kehler of Weather Logics at Steinbach, Man.

“This will be the pattern for a little while longer,” said Drew Lerner of World Weather Inc. in Kansas City.

The two differ slightly as to when there might be a significant shift in Prairie weather. Lerner believes there will be more rain for the northern areas of the Prairies around late July to early August. Kehler leaned toward that shift not occurring until the end of summer and the beginning of autumn, noting summer is the most difficult time to forecast the weather.

Kehler said the severe thunderstorms southern Manitoba has experienced this summer are likely to continue.

“With more storms there will be pockets where there’s good to excessive moisture, while in areas not far away will be close to having a drought,” he said, citing Brandon and the surrounding area as one example.

As summer continues, Lerner predicted Alberta should see less rain, alleviating some of the very wet conditions parts of that province have been experiencing.

He said a ridge is likely to form over North Dakota and Montana, extending into southern Saskatchewan, which should result in the warm weather sticking around.

“There would be disturbances that move over top of the ridge and pass into Manitoba,” Lerner said.

— Glen Hallick reports for MarketsFarm from Winnipeg.

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