A few weeks before the election, I was having a coffee in Ottawa with someone who advocates for a growers’ group. She apologized for coming solo, telling me the person who was supposed to join her couldn’t make it.
That was because her colleague had flown to Regina for a meeting with Ralph Goodale.
It was one of the countless times I’ve been reminded of the influence carried by Goodale, a 26-year veteran MP who had been serving in the most recent government cabinet.
He’s been described by Ottawa types as “key” to how the Liberal government shapes its agricultural policy.
The sentiment is shared by just about anyone who came across the affable Goodale, who somehow appeared at every community event in Regina and simultaneously managed the ministerial portfolio of public safety in Ottawa.
He was the one who announced the party’s agricultural platform in 2015, and countless investments or supports to the industry in the four years since. History will not look kindly on people who disparage his political record and net benefit to this country.
On Oct. 21, he lost his seat. So did every other Liberal in Alberta and Saskatchewan.
If anyone still needs convincing there is a visceral dislike in Western Canada for Justin Trudeau’s Liberals — and by extension, his federally imposed price on carbon — they should look no further than Goodale’s loss in Regina-Wascana.
Voters in that riding traded an influential and respected cabinet minister for a rookie opposition backbencher.
Right-leaning conservative premiers made sure carbon pricing was a difficult sell to Prairie folks. The Conservatives attempted to make it a definitive issue in election. On the Prairies, it worked.
Goodale’s botched sales job may very well have cost him his seat.
He was the sacrificial Prairie Liberal tasked with defending a carbon price, starting on the day the federal plan was announced. That same day, Saskatchewan’s Minister of Environment Dustin Duncan accused Goodale and the Liberals of not understanding farmers.
Given the constant complaints from farmers about the costs associated with a federal carbon price now being imposed in New Brunswick, Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta, there is at least anecdotal proof Duncan was correct.
Many farmers don’t like the carbon tax, despite the federal government’s insistence revenue generated from it comes back either directly or indirectly to them.
The absence of Goodale leaves a hole that will not be filled by Trudeau, if for no other reason than simple geography. There will be those who try. Liberal insiders are quick to throw out names of caucus members with ag backgrounds, suggesting they will have a voice in Goodale’s absence.
An example: Liberal MP Pat Finnigan holds a farming background and will return to Ottawa representing the good people of New Brunswick’s Miramichi-Grand Lake riding.
Each of the MPs who were sitting on the agricultural committee were re-elected, with many of them presumably set to resume their old duties of shaping ag-based policy in a multi-partisan effort.
Quebec-based Marie-Claude Bibeau, the country’s most recently serving minister of agriculture, kept her seat. We likely won’t know if she keeps the cabinet portfolio until Nov. 20, although it is worth noting she is considered a competent minister.
Language and geography work against Bibeau. English is her second language and Quebec is her home province, none of which helps her in a western demographic dangerously flirting with notions of separation, harbouring an inherent dislike for most things Quebecois, and holding a dislike for any sniff of central-Canadian elitism.
There is no heir to Goodale in the Liberal caucus. There is nobody waiting in the wings who understands the West, and can share that knowledge at the cabinet table.
Knowing this, Trudeau is attempting to say all the right things: telling Alberta and Saskatchewan he hears their concerns. A vow to move its nationalized Trans Mountain Pipeline project forward helped to a degree, and he is expected to make efforts to solidify more export markets for Canadian producers.
How he aims to dampen the anger felt in Western Canada and to convince farmers they are still being heard around his cabinet table remains a mystery.
Until that mystery is solved, farmers in Western Canada cannot be sure if Goodale’s absence leaves them better off than they were before the election.