Latest articles

Forecast: Above-average temperatures ahead?

Issued March 4, 2019: Covering the period from March 6 to March 13

Well, it looks like we’re paying for the nice warm December as cold winter-like temperatures dominated our region for most of the last forecast period. Over the last month or so, the weather models have been pointing toward a break in the cold weather sometime around the middle of March, and while it does look […] Read more

Forecast: Storm track staying to our south

Issued February 25, 2019: Covering the period from February 27 to March 6

For those of you hoping to read that spring and melting temperatures are just around the corner, you’d better stop right here. It seems midwinter temperatures are going to dominate this forecast period, but with what appears to be plenty of sunshine, so it doesn’t look like it will be too bad. Last issue’s weather […] Read more

Forecast: Cold air expected to slowly moderate

Issued February 15, 2019: Covering the period from February 20 to 27

With an early deadline because of the Louis Riel Day long weekend, this issue’s forecast is more like a general weather outlook for the next week or two. So far, over the last couple of weeks, the weather models have had an increasingly difficult time predicting the forecast. This usually means one of two things: […] Read more

Forecast: Some signs of warmer weather ahead

Issued February 11, 2019: Covering the period from February 13 to 20

After a cold and unsettled couple of weeks it looks like more tranquil late-winter weather will move in during this forecast period. For those of you looking for a quick warm-up, you’ll have to wait a little longer. It looks more and more like we’ll see a long, slow warm-up as we work our way […] Read more

Forecast: Arctic air continues to dominate

Issued February 4, 2019: Covering the period from February 6 to 13

Last week’s forecast wasn’t as far off as it seemed. The cold air was a little colder than forecast, a little more snow fell across central regions last Saturday, and the southern low tracked a little farther north than forecast on Sunday, bringing a fairly good dump of fluffy snow. For this forecast period, it […] Read more

Forecast: Are we nearing the end of the brutally cold weather?

Issued January 28, 2018: Covering the period from January 30 to February 6

As forecasts go, last week’s played out about as good as it can get, which is unfortunate, unless you like it cold, really cold! If you do, then you will love this week’s forecast; if not, then it looks like you’ll have to wait a little longer before more seasonable temperatures are forecast to move […] Read more

Forecast: A couple of weeks of cold weather ahead

Issued January 21, 2018: Covering the period from January 23 to January 30

As forecast, cold and sunny conditions moved in last week and, as predicted, the coldest weather occurred over the weekend, with many locations across southern and central Manitoba seeing overnight lows in the -35 to -40 C range — temperatures not seen since the winter of 2014, all thanks to the infamous polar vortex. It […] Read more

Forecast: Solid week of cold weather ahead

Issued January 14, 2018: Covering the period from January 16 to January 23

The first part of last week’s forecast played out pretty much as expected, but things fell apart a little bit toward the end of the forecast period. The expected ridge of high pressure did build to our west, and we did see mild air move in over the weekend, just not to the initial extent […] Read more

Forecast: Warm mid-winter weather ahead

Issued January 7, 2018: Covering the period from January 10 to January 17

After a snowy start to this week it looks like our old pattern of dry and seasonable weather will move back in for the remainder of this forecast period. It’s always tough to create a forecast when a major weather event is unfolding (I must write the forecasts late Sunday or early Monday morning), as […] Read more

A quick look back at global weather in 2018

We’re looking at a 90 per cent chance of a weak El Niño through this winter

To wrap up last year’s weather articles, I thought I would do a quick look back at how the globe fared, weather-wise, during 2018. To start, let’s look back at November: according to both NOAA and NASA, it was the fifth warmest on record with the only warmer months coming in 2015, 2013, 2010 and […] Read more