Latest articles

Forecast: Is the dry spring weather coming to an end?

Issued April 22, 2019: Covering the period from April 24 to May 1

For the first time in a while, last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models were predicting, with the added bonus of temperatures ending up a little warmer than expected. This forecast period will begin with a predominantly zonal flow with the jet stream tracking across the southern Prairies. This will […] Read more

Forecast: It’s feeling more like spring

Issued April 15, 2019: Covering the period from April 17 to April 24

For those of you who closely follow the weather and forecasting, you know that small changes early in the forecast period are often amplified later. Last week’s forecast was a perfect example of this. The arctic high that brought the cool weather last week also helped to protect us from a large Colorado low that […] Read more

Forecast: Seasonable but unsettled weather

Issued April 8, 2019: Covering the period from April 10 to April 17

Last week’s forecast called for a shift in the large-scale weather pattern, and while we did see a shift, it didn’t shift exactly as forecast. While the large low over northeastern Canada did shift eastward and weaken, it was replaced by an area of arctic high pressure that has been helping to keep the really […] Read more

Forecast: Spring melt to begin in earnest

Issued April 1, 2019: Covering the period from April 3 to April 9

Surprisingly, last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the models had forecast. The biggest difference was in the overnight lows, which tended to be a little warmer than forecast. While the cooler-than-average temperatures might not have been what everyone wanted, they did create nearly perfect conditions for a nice slow melt. It is […] Read more

Forecast: Expect the slow melt to continue

Issued March 25, 2019: Covering the period from March 27 to April 6

Have I ever mentioned how difficult it can be to create weather forecasts in the spring and fall, never mind trying to create a week-long forecast three days ahead of time? The yearly springtime battle between cold and warm air simply makes for a rough, frustrating time in the weather forecasting department. This battle played […] Read more

Forecast: Warm with a chance of rain

Issued March 18, 2019: Covering the period from March 20 to March 27

With the official beginning of astronomical spring, it looks more and more like we’ll finally see some of the above-average temperatures the weather models have been predicting for nearly a month now. While this might be good news for some, it might be a concern for those worrying about spring flooding. Before we dive into […] Read more

Forecast: Manitoba’s spring melt slowly begins

Issued March 11, 2019: Covering the period from March 13 to March 20

As we begin to transition from winter to spring it’s not unusual for the accuracy of the forecasts to take a bit of a hit. We saw that in the last forecast as the weekend storm system that looked to stay well south of us took a much more northerly track, bringing measurable snow to […] Read more

Forecast: Above-average temperatures ahead?

Issued March 4, 2019: Covering the period from March 6 to March 13

Well, it looks like we’re paying for the nice warm December as cold winter-like temperatures dominated our region for most of the last forecast period. Over the last month or so, the weather models have been pointing toward a break in the cold weather sometime around the middle of March, and while it does look […] Read more

Forecast: Storm track staying to our south

Issued February 25, 2019: Covering the period from February 27 to March 6

For those of you hoping to read that spring and melting temperatures are just around the corner, you’d better stop right here. It seems midwinter temperatures are going to dominate this forecast period, but with what appears to be plenty of sunshine, so it doesn’t look like it will be too bad. Last issue’s weather […] Read more

Forecast: Cold air expected to slowly moderate

Issued February 15, 2019: Covering the period from February 20 to 27

With an early deadline because of the Louis Riel Day long weekend, this issue’s forecast is more like a general weather outlook for the next week or two. So far, over the last couple of weeks, the weather models have had an increasingly difficult time predicting the forecast. This usually means one of two things: […] Read more