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Forecast: Hot, but with the chance of rain

Issued May 21, 2018: Covering the period from May 23 to May 30, 2018

My weather forecasts seem to be starting off the same every week now. Last week’s forecast was nearly bang on, except for a little more rain over eastern regions last Friday. For this forecast period, it is going to feel more like mid-summer rather than late spring. While the hot weather will not help those […] Read more


Forecast: Above-average temperatures, little or no rain

Issued May 14, 2018: Covering the period from May 16 to May 23, 2018

Last week again played out about as close to what was forecast as could be expected. The biggest issue with the forecast was the very cold overnight lows we saw late last week. Cold temperatures were predicted, but the extreme overnight lows were a result of very dry air along with very dry surface conditions […] Read more



Forecast: No significant rain expected

Issued May 7, 2018: Covering the period from May 9 to May 16, 2018

Overall, the weather models did a good job with last week’s forecast. There was a little more wind than expected (bad), but temperatures over the weekend and into the first part of this week were warmer than forecast (good). For this forecast period we’ll start with two areas of low pressure influencing our region. The […] Read more


Forecast: Dry but less windy weather expected

Issued April 30, 2018: Covering the period from May 2 to May 9, 2018

Once again, the weather models have been doing a bang-up job with the forecast. The western low developed as predicted over the weekend and we definitely saw warm and windy weather move in — maybe a little too windy in some places. The only deviation from the forecast was the track of the western low […] Read more



Forecast: Warm and dry weather expected

Issued April 23, 2018: Covering the period from April 25 to May 2, 2018

The only problem with last week’s forecast was that temperatures ended up being warmer than forecasted. Otherwise, everything played out very close to what the weather models predicted; it’s actually almost scary how accurate the weather models have been lately. If the weather models continue to be accurate, it looks like we will see another […] Read more


Forecast: Slow warming trend to continue

Issued April 16, 2018: Covering the period from April 18 to April 25, 2018

The slow warming trend looks to continue during this forecast period. Last week’s forecast turned out pretty close to what the weather models predicted. The major storm system forecast for last weekend did develop, and it did stay well to our south, bringing heavy snow to parts of South Dakota and Minnesota and leaving our […] Read more



Forecast: It’ll be cold, but finally above zero

Issued April 9, 2018: Covering the period from April 11 to April 18, 2018

If you like lots of sunshine and don’t mind April temperatures closer to those usually found in February, then the last week has been perfect for you! If you are tired of the cold weather, then take heart — there are some signs of mild weather coming, it just might take a little while longer. […] Read more


Forecast: Well-below-average temperatures to continue

Issued April 2, 2018: Covering the period from April 4 to April 11, 2018

Unfortunately, last week’s forecast was nearly bang on as we experienced a late-season outbreak of cold arctic air. The cold air, combined with fairly strong winds, resulted in rather miserable conditions for early April. The only positive was the sunshine, and if you could get out of the wind it actually did not feel that […] Read more



Forecast: Well-below-average temperatures expected

Issued March 26, 2018: Covering the period from March 28 to April 4, 2018

The first part of last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models predicted, with the main difference being how the various lows ended up tracking. For this forecast period, I hope the weather models are wrong, because it looks like we are going to begin April with a bit of a […] Read more


Forecast: Plenty of clouds and unsettled weather

Issued March 19, 2018: Covering the period from March 21 to March 28, 2018

The general placements of the main weather features were handled well by the weather models during the last forecast period, but as usual, the devil was in the details. A persistent flow of dry air from the departing high last week allowed overnight temperatures to become fairly cool. This, combined with the fresh snowpack, helped […] Read more