Latest articles

Forecast: Another slow-moving storm system

Issued May 22, 2017 – Covering the period from May 24 to May 31, 2017

Well, once again, both the weather models and I struggled with the forecast. Thanks to a huge area of low pressure, the holiday long weekend turned out to be much cloudier and wetter than originally expected, unless you live in extreme western Manitoba. The low that put the damper on the long weekend was an […] Read more

Forecast: Pleasant spring weather ahead

Issued May 15, 2017 – Covering the period from May 17 to May 24, 2017

The introductions to my forecasts are beginning to sound a bit like a broken record: Last week’s forecast didn’t turn out exactly as predicted… The first part of last week’s forecast played out pretty well. We did end up in a rather cool northwesterly flow in the upper atmosphere, while a strong upper low to […] Read more

Forecast: Warm weather returning with a vengeance?

Issued May 1, 2017 – Covering the period from May 3 to May 10, 2017

Last week’s storm system was a bust, as it slid farther east than expected and therefore, for the most part, only impacted the extreme southeastern portion of our province. The wraparound cloud did keep areas east of the Red River Valley on the cloudy side until last Friday, while western regions received mostly sunshine. By […] Read more

Forecast: Very slow return towards warmer weather

Issued April 24, 2017 – Covering the period from April 26 to May 3, 2017

Once again it seems that the writing of my forecast coincides with a possible major storm system. I write my forecasts late on Sunday or early on Monday and you see it Wednesday. For this forecast period, whether some regions saw significant snowfall on Monday will have an impact on temperatures until at least Friday. […] Read more

Forecast: No big warm-up before end of month

Issued April 17, 2017 – Covering the period from April 19 to April 26, 2017

Last week’s forecast once again turned out to be pretty good. A strong area of low pressure did form late last week and tracked through the north-central Prairie provinces over the weekend. Southern regions ended up seeing nicer-than-expected weather last Friday and Saturday, but a small fairly strong upper-level system brought some unwanted rain early […] Read more

Forecast: Low confidence in weather models

Issued April 10, 2017 – Covering the period from April 12 to April 19, 2017

Surprisingly, last week’s forecast turned out to be pretty good, despite the inconsistencies in the weather models. I think the biggest problem with the forecast was the timing of the cold front that swept through the region over the week. After a nice warm day Saturday, the cold front, which was originally forecast to move […] Read more

Forecast: Warmest temperatures of the year expected

Issued April 3, 2017 – Covering the period from April 5 to April 12, 2017

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Spring is often the toughest time to try and forecast the weather, and this year is no exception. The overall pattern for last week’s forecast played out as expected, but missed out on most of the details as the timing and placement of major weather systems […] Read more

Forecast: Split flow keeping us relatively dry

Issued March 27, 2017 – Covering the period from March 29 to April 5, 2017

Last week’s forecast, once again, didn’t play out quite as expected. While it wasn’t a total bust, the forecast slowly fell apart as the main weather makers ended up falling into a pattern that was not initially forecast. This turned out to be a good thing for our region as the main storm track shifted […] Read more

Forecast: Plenty of chances for precipitation

Issued March 20, 2017 – Covering the period from March 22 to March 29, 2017

Once again, the overall forecasted weather pattern played out pretty well, but as always, the devil is in the details. The area of low pressure forecast to track through northern Manitoba last Thursday and Friday ended up taking a more southerly route, bringing significant March rains to a good part of southern Manitoba. Last weekend’s […] Read more