Latest articles

Forecast: No big warm-up before end of month

Issued April 17, 2017 – Covering the period from April 19 to April 26, 2017

Last week’s forecast once again turned out to be pretty good. A strong area of low pressure did form late last week and tracked through the north-central Prairie provinces over the weekend. Southern regions ended up seeing nicer-than-expected weather last Friday and Saturday, but a small fairly strong upper-level system brought some unwanted rain early […] Read more

Forecast: Low confidence in weather models

Issued April 10, 2017 – Covering the period from April 12 to April 19, 2017

Surprisingly, last week’s forecast turned out to be pretty good, despite the inconsistencies in the weather models. I think the biggest problem with the forecast was the timing of the cold front that swept through the region over the week. After a nice warm day Saturday, the cold front, which was originally forecast to move […] Read more

Forecast: Warmest temperatures of the year expected

Issued April 3, 2017 – Covering the period from April 5 to April 12, 2017

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Spring is often the toughest time to try and forecast the weather, and this year is no exception. The overall pattern for last week’s forecast played out as expected, but missed out on most of the details as the timing and placement of major weather systems […] Read more

Forecast: Split flow keeping us relatively dry

Issued March 27, 2017 – Covering the period from March 29 to April 5, 2017

Last week’s forecast, once again, didn’t play out quite as expected. While it wasn’t a total bust, the forecast slowly fell apart as the main weather makers ended up falling into a pattern that was not initially forecast. This turned out to be a good thing for our region as the main storm track shifted […] Read more

Forecast: Plenty of chances for precipitation

Issued March 20, 2017 – Covering the period from March 22 to March 29, 2017

Once again, the overall forecasted weather pattern played out pretty well, but as always, the devil is in the details. The area of low pressure forecast to track through northern Manitoba last Thursday and Friday ended up taking a more southerly route, bringing significant March rains to a good part of southern Manitoba. Last weekend’s […] Read more

Forecast: Slowly moving back toward spring

Issued March 13, 2017 – Covering the period from March 15 to March 22, 2017

Well, I did not do the best job with last week’s forecast. The winter storm ended up being much stronger than expected and when that happens, the system kind of takes control over the overall weather pattern, rewriting the forecast. The one thing that did occur as expected was the cold arctic high- pressure system […] Read more

Forecast: Winter settling back in over Manitoba

Issued March 6, 2017 – Covering the period from March 8 to March 15, 2017

As I write this forecast late Sunday evening, all eyes are turned toward a major storm system that is forecast to affect pretty much all of Manitoba on Monday and Tuesday. As you read this, you’re likely just finishing digging out from the first major snowfall since early January, or you’re trying to clean up […] Read more

Forecast: Cool with a chance of snow

Issued February 27, 2017 – Covering the period from March 1 to March 8, 2017

After an extreme warm period, it looks like we are back into more winter-like conditions for this forecast period. This continues the pattern we have seen since early December, of alternating periods of warm and cold weather. This time, though, it does not look like we will see any extremely cold weather move in. For […] Read more

Forecast: Cooling down to more seasonal temperatures

Issued February 17, 2017 – Covering the period from February 22 to March 1, 2017

Due to the holiday Monday, my deadline for the weather forecast was much earlier than usual. Because of this, I will have to skip some of the details and stick with a more generalized forecast. After a warm to record-warm end to the last forecast period, this forecast period is going to feel a little […] Read more

Forecast: Warm, with a chance of rain

Issued February 13, 2017 – Covering the period from February 15 to February 22, 2017

Timing of weather systems ended up being an issue with last week’s forecast. We did see a system late last week give a general five cm of snow to a good part of southern and central Manitoba, but it came through a day earlier than forecast. The second low slid quickly through central regions as […] Read more